MASIGNCLEAN101

THE CONCEPT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND AGRICULTURE




Climate change is a change in the pattern of the weather and related changes in oceans, land surface and ice sheets, occurring over time scales of decade or longer. Climate change is a change in the statistical properties of the climate system that persists for several decades or longer, usually at least 30 years. These statistical properties include average, variability and extremes. Climate change may be due to natural processes such as changes in sun’s radiation, volcanoes or internal variability in the climate system or due to human influences such as change in the composition of the atmosphere or land use.
Energy sector is a category of stocks that related to producing or supplying energy. These sectors includes companies involved in the exploration and development of oil or gas drilling and refining, or integrated power utility  companies including renewable energy and coal. Energy sectors is a large  and all encompassing term that describe a complex and inter related network of companies directly and indirectly involved in the production and distribution of energy needed to power the economy and facilitate  the means of production. Energy sector include all things that produce energy such as hydroelectric power, wind power, solar power, petroleum and other which produce and distribute energy through the various ways like water, sun light, fuel and biogas. Therefore when climate change take place it leads many impacts may be positive or negative.
The following are the impacts of climate change on energy sector especially in Caribbean and other countries in Africa;-
Climate change impact on hydroelectric power, according to data from OLADE in Latin America and Caribbean the regional potential for hydroelectricity was of 582,033MW in 2005 but in 2006 the Caribbean it collapse in the production of electricity through the water due to change of climate especially the collapse or decline of height of dam so through the lack of enough water   variability. Also in Africa there some countries like Tanzania involve in the production of energy especially electricity by using water such as Mtela, Nyumba ya mungu and other dams which used for the production of electricity by using water, so some time the amount of production and distribution of electricity is very high because the presence of enough water but also sometime the amount of production and distribution of that energy is very low because the change of climate change in that area, for example during the rainfall season the production of electricity is very high  but during the summer the production and distribution of electricity is very low because the climate change.
Climate change on wind energy, in Latin America and the Caribbean wind energy currently account for less than0.4% of renewable energy. In 2006 Caribbean region experienced an encouraging development with the deployment of new wind turbine installation summing up to 296 MW of installed capacity. During the 2007-2010 the production of energy through wind in Caribbean is very high because it is developed in production and distribution of energy through the presence of wind, also in Tanzania there some area where produce energy by using wind like Singida there that machines which produce and distribute energy through wind, so sometime cannot produce enough energy because there is not wind  blowing but sometime can produce and distribute enough energy due to presence of enough wind  because of climate change.
Impact on climate change on solar energy, the sun is major external sources of energy and internally there exist two primary sources of energy. The use of solar energy in Caribbean is widely known and disseminated, but only on a local scale or for domestic uses; so many African countries like Tanzania can use the energy from the sun, solar energy can affected during the rainfall so in this time the production and distribution of energy through the sun is very low because there is no enough penetration of sunlight to the solar panel, so during the summer the production and distribution of energy through the solar is very high because there is enough amount of penetration of the sun rays, so the production and distribution of solar energy can be affected by the presence of the rainfall so when climate change may be during the rainfall there is low production of energy through the solar energy  due to climate change.
Climate change impact on bio-fuels, in Latin America and the Caribbean biofuels re among the most promising type of biomass energy system in place given their ability to replace oil imports by using indigenous resources. Several Caribbean nation possess relatively large agricultural lands for the cultivation of bio-energy dedicated crops for example temperature are linked with the real evapotraspiration of sugarcane plants in semi arid condition  therefore an increase in temperature and decrease in rainfall will cause increased evapotraspiration, resulting in lower  production of sugarcane and thus lower bio-fuel product.
Climate change impact on the geothermal energy production, shifting air temperature can affect geothermal energy in the same manner they affect the efficiency of fossil-fuel turbines. Both energy generation processes are based on the use of steam cycle, where the difference between ambient and combustion temperature have an impact on the overall efficiency of the boiler. Hydrologic change driven by the climate undoubtedly impact geothermal energy production. In most cases either groundwater or surface water is extracted for its use in a variety of geothermal power general activities.

 EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON LIVESTOCK 


Livestock keeping refer to the rearing of animal for food and other for human uses. The word livestock’’ applies primarily to cattle or dairy cows, chickens, goats, pigs, horses and sheep today even animal like donkeys, mules, rabbits and insects such as bees are being raised as part of livestock keeping. There is two types of livestock keeping may be distinguished namely tradition pastoral and commercial. There are some societies which engage much in livestock keeping like Maasai, karamajongi, sukuma, and other society. Also there are some countries which are engage in livestock keeping such as Argentina, Denmark, Tanzania, Kenya and South Africa. The following are the impact of livestock keeping, starting negative impact.
Death of animals. Long term effects of climatic condition associated by increase of temperature on the earth surface leads to desertification and drought which mostly affect the growing of pasture to feed cattle hence due to the change of climate change it cause the death of cattle because of the lack of good soil for pastures. According to FAO (2007) .example In South African in 2009 cows death due to drought also in other countries in Africa animal would be reduced up to 50% due to climate change.
Wide spread of disease and pests. For example of pests are like ticks and tsetse fly while disease are like anthrax, east coast and rift valley fever due to the variation in temperature and rainfall are the most significant climatic variables affecting livestock disease outbreaks warmer and wetter weather will increase the risk and occurrence of animals disease through the climate change many animal will affected with different disease. According to Thompson (2013) described that country like Swaziland animals were attack with pests and disease due to climate change.
Decrease of animal production. According to Naqvi and sejian (2011) due to the fact that the livestock production is sensitive to climate change at the same time itself contributor to phenomena, climate change has potential to be an increasingly formidable to the development of livestock sector. Due to change of climate change can lead the animal production like milk and meat to decrease because of lack of water and pastures for feeding animals. example in Mpolonjeni in Swaziland use natural pastures to feed animal with the only few having other means buying hay for their animals due to decrease of production.
Low reproduction of animal. Also this is major impact of climate change in live stock keeping because due to the climate change the rate of production will decrease due to the heart stress. Reproductive process are affected by heart stress conception rate of dairy cows may drops 20% - 27% in summer and low production will caused by low fertilization, foliculogenesis  because the animal will not get enough pastures for production because of climate change. Naqvi et al (2012) example in Kenya the reproduction of animals are low due to lack of pastures.  
Heart stress.  As seasonal temperature rise with the changing climate livestock will be more vulnerable to heart stress during the warmest months animal tend to eat less when under heart stress resulting in less weight gain and decreased performance and reproduction. Heart stress models have predicted that by 2040 in the central US swine may take 1.5 to 3.7 days longer to reach slaughter weight. In cattle it could take 2.8 to 4.8 longer and milk production could be reduced due to climate change (UNDP, 2007)
Also the following are the positive impact of climate change in livestock keeping.
Increase of animal production. This is due to increase of rainfall which mostly area support for growth of pastures for feeding animal because when climate change in positive way the rainfall will increase and animal get enough water and pastures. According to FANRPAN in 2009. Example in the area like Turkana and Wajir these areas due to climate change where by climate condition is not constant overtime
Decrease of death to animal. Due  to increase rainfall which is supportive to good soil which are most favored the growth of pastures for feeding animal because when rainfall occur even disease and pests for animal will decrease because of availability of rainfall and enough pasture and water for animal disease like pests and rift valley will occur due to climate change. (Thornton,2010; Thornton and Herrero, 2008)
Increase of pasture and water for animal. Also when the climate change in positive when the enough rainfall occur the animal will get enough water and pastures through that the production and reproduction will increase due to availability of pastures and water , FAO ( 2007) For example in Kenya the pastoralist they move northern to central Kenya where there in enough water and pastures for their animal in order to increase the production and reproduction.
Therefore the climate change have impact to the livestock keeping through this its better of combat the climate change in order to help the livestock because the livestock keeping have the important to the people and the government at large effort in needed in livestock keeping like development of early warning, research to understand interaction among multiple stressors, also government can support the issue of livestock keeping .

 ADAPTATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE BY FARMERS

       

 Farmer adaptation defines as adjustments in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected effects which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities. It also refers to actions that people, countries and societies take to adjust to climate change that has occurred. However, adaptations have three objectives namely reducing exposure to the risk of damage, to develop capacity to cope with avoidable damages, and to take advantageous of new opportunities. Recently climate change has brought several impacts on agriculture leading to the decline of agricultural production particularly due to rise of temperature, variation in rain season, long terms drought, floods and increase in heat waves. This has become a great challenge to most of the farmers especially in most of African countries like Tanzania. Hence in this work there are several adaptive strategies developed by farmers’ in order to cope with problems associated with climate change and with it many case studies and references drawn from different parts of Africa. (The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2007)
Planting of drought resistant varieties of crops; this is specifically carried out in drought prone areas which help in reducing vulnerability to climate changes. Example of crops is like wheat which requires significantly less irrigation water compared to drying season rice. The use of drought resistant crop varieties have been tried by smallholder farmers as adaptation methods to climate change in Nigeria, Senegal, Burkina Faso and Ghana (Ngigi, 2009).
Crops diversification; Crop diversity is a high priority adaptation measure in both irrigated and non irrigated areas. Examples in Southern Africa, land use are manipulated leading to land use conversion, such as the shift from livestock farming to game farming. In Kordofan and Drafur states of western Sudan food crops have replaced cash crops and more resilient varieties of crops have been introduced (DFID, 2004). In Tanzania farmers diversify crops types as the way of spreading risks on the farm (Orindi and Eriksen 2005). Adger et al (2003). Crops diversification can serve as insurance against rainfall variability.
Change in cropping pattern and calendar of planting; currently most of the farmers have radically transformed from the old habits and experiences of planting their crops at one time rather they do it in both seasons which includes as soon as before, during and after the commence of rainfall and this aims at ensuring that every rain drop is utilized to the maximum volume at any season of rain. According to Urama and Ozor (2011) farmers in central Africa (Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea and Central African Republic) noted that the trend of uncertainties in extreme weather events has generally increased within five past years which includes thunderstorms, heavy winds, heat waves, floods and long term drought that force the farmers wisely change the calendar of planting and cropping pattern. In Tanzania, to avoid crop production risk due to rainfall variability and drought, staggered planting is very common to most farmers whereby crops are planted before rain onset (dry land) on uncultivated land. And others were planted immediately after rain or few days after rain. These were done purposely to distribute risk by ensuring that any rain was utilized to the maximum by the crop planted in the dry field.
Mixed cropping; this is the one among the useful coping strategies in of the farmers in Africa where by two or more crops varieties have been cultivated on the same land with different climate adaptive features. In Tanzania cereals (maize and sorghum), legumes (beans) and nuts (groundnuts) are grown together. The advantage of mixing crops with varying attributes are in terms of maturity period example (maize and beans) drought tolerance, (maize and sorghum) input requirements, (cereals and legumes) end users of the product, example ( maize as a food crop and sunflower as a cash crop) .A research conducted by Mendelson et al (2000) on analyzing adaptation made in Africa revealed that in all countries apart from Cameroon and South Africa, the planting of different varieties of the same crop is considered to be one of the most important adaptations. Different planting dates are also considered an important adaptation in Egypt, Kenya and Senegal.
Improved irrigation efficiency, is the best adaptive mechanism particularly in drought prone areas where there is sufficient fresh water and this can be done specifically during dry season where the demand for water increases due to high temperature caused by evapo transpiration. As water become a limiting factor, improved irrigation efficiency will become an important adaptation tool, especially in dry season (Selvaraju et al, 2006). In Egypt, Kenya and South Africa significant number of farmers have adapted by increased use of irrigation. In Gambia, South Africa and Sudan farmers adapt it as irrigation water transfer, water harvesting and storage to combat the effects of rainfall variability. (Nkomo et al, 2005 and Osman et al, 2005) as temperature increases farmers irrigate more frequently and when precipitation increases they tend to irrigate less often and resort to natural rainfall more often. Farmer in desert reduces irrigation when temperature increases. Similarly, when precipitation increases, farms close to the desert increase irrigation.
Adopting soil conservation measures that conserve soil moinsture; This technique is mostly used in some African countries like Burkina Faso, Kenya, Senegal and Niger (Nyong et al, 2007). A study carried out by Lema and Majule (2009), in Manyoni District of Tanzania revealed that farmers at Kamenyanga and Kintinku ensure proper timing of farming activities like burying of crops residues to replenish soil fertility, burning crops residues to enhance quick release of nutrients and allowing livestock to graze on farm land after harvesting crops so that to improve soil organic matter. In Tanzania, farmers used contouring ridges to minimize soil erosion to encourage better roots penetration and enhance moisture conservation. In Senegal and Bukina Faso, local famers improved their adaptive capacity by using traditional pruning and fertilizing technique to double tree densities in semi-arid areas. These help in holding soil together and reversing desertification.
Planting of trees (a forestation) and agro forestry; Tree planting is the process of transplanting tree seedlings, generally for forestry, land reclamation or landscaping purpose. In silviculture the activity is known as reforestation or a forestation depending on whether the area being planted has or has not recently been forested. Agro forestry is a rational land-use planning system that tries to find some balance in the raising of food crop and forests. Practices in western part of Nigeria to raise shade tolerant crops such as cocoyam (Adesina et al, 1998, 1999). Agro forestry techniques can be perfected to cope with new conditions that are anticipated under a drier condition and a higher population density, in which they lead to increase in amount of organic matter in the soil thereby improving agricultural productivity and reducing the pressure exerted on forest (Nyong et al., 2007).
Holistically, climate change has brought several impacts on agricultural sector particularly in crops production by farmers which specifically includes fall in food production resulting to poverty in most societies and families which depends much on agriculture. Insipite of having all these adaptive strategies, farmers still faces a lot of challenges in correctly applying them which includes; lack of knowledge, expertise and data on climate change issues, lack of specific climate change institutions to take on climate change work and the need for better institutional frame works for climate change. Therefore to achieve all these education to farmers should be provided, outreach programs, training more extension officers, strengthening human capital, better decision making as well as establishment of specific institutions for climate change issues.
           














REFERENCE
v  Adesina F.A. [1998] Developing stable agro forestry system in the tropics; an example of local agro forestry technique in southern western Nigeria. Discussion paper in Geography 37, Department of Geography, University of Sal ford, United Kingdom Pp;27.
v  Department of Food and International Development [DFID], 2004. Adaptation to climate change; the right information can help the poor to cope; global and local environmental team, policy decision.
v  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC]. 2007. Climate change 2007. Climate change impacts adaptation and vulnerability; summary for policy makers; contribution of working group 2 to the fourth assessment Report of the IPPC.
v  Lema, M.A. and A.E. Majule. 2009. Impacts of Climate Change Variability And Adaptation strategies on agriculture in semi-arid areas of Tanzania; The case study of Manyoni District in Singida Region, Journal of Environmental Sciences and Technology. 3 [8], Pp 206-218.
v  Ngigi, S.N 2009. Climate change adaptation strategies: Water resource management options for smallholder farming system in sub-saharan Africa. The MDG Centre for East and Southern Africa, the Earth Institute at Columbia University, New York. Pp.189.
v  Nyong, A., F. Adensiana and O. Elasha 2007. The value of indigenous knowledge in climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies in the African Sahel. Mitg. Adapt. Strat. Glob. Change. 12, Pp. 787 -797.
v  Ozor, N And Nnanji,  C. E. 2011. The role of extension in agricultural adaptation to climate change in Enugu State, Nigeria. Journal of Agricultural Extension and Rural Development3 (3): 42-50.
v  Urama, K and N. Ozor. 2011. Agricultural innovations for climate change adaptation for food security in Western and Central Africa. Agro-science Journal of Tropical Agriculture, Food, Environment and Extension 10 (1): 1-16








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